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22 10 im noticia probabilitywebinarTítulo: Self-Switching Markov Chains: emerging dominance phenomena.

Palestrante: Guilherme Ost (IM-UFRJ).
Data: 26/10/2020.
Horário: 15:00 to 16:00 (Rio de Janeiro local time)
Local: Transmissão online.

Confira AQUI o link para a transmissão.

Resumo: In many dynamical systems in nature, the law of the dynamics changes along with the temporal evolution of the system. These changes are often associated with the occurrence of certain events. The timing of occurrence of these events depends, in turn, on the trajectory of the dynamical system itself, making the dynamics of the system and the timing of changes in the dynamics strongly coupled. Naturally, trajectories that take longer to satisfy the event will last longer. Therefore, we expect to observe more frequently the dominant dynamics, the ones that take longer to change in the long run. In this talk, we will present a Markov chain model, called Self-Switching Markov Chain (SSMC), in which the emergence of dominant dynamics can be rigorously addressed. We will discuss conditions and scaling in the SSMC under which we observe with probability one only the subset of dominant dynamics. Moreover, we characterize these dominant dynamics. Furthermore, we show that the switching between dynamics exhibits metastability-like property. This is a joint work with Daniel Takahashi (UFRN), Giulio Iacobelli (UFRJ) and Sandro Gallo (UFSCar).