O COLMEA - Colóquio Interinstitucional Modelos Estocásticos e Aplicações - Dia 31 de janeiro de 2024, a partir das 14:00h, no IM-UFRJ, Sala C-116. Será o primeiro encontro deste novo ano e aproveitamos para desejar a todos um Feliz 2024. Nesta ocasião teremos as palestras dos Professores Helcio Orlande (Programa de Engenharia Matemática - COPPE/UFRJ) e Béla Bollobás (University of Cambridge e University of Memphis)

Programa:
 
14:00 - 15:20  Helcio Orlande (PEM COPPE/UFRJ) - State estimation and predictive control applied to the treatment of the hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy in neonates

15:40 - 17:00  Béla Bollobás (Univ. of Cambridge and Univ. of Memphis) - Sum-set problems and results -- Old and new

17:00 - Discussão e lanche

Local: Sala C-116

Informações mais completas sobre o COLMEA podem ser encontradas AQUI!

Atenciosamente,

O comitê organizador:

Americo Cunha (UERJ)
Evaldo M.F. Curado (CBPF)
João Batista M. Pereira (UFRJ)
Leandro P. R. Pimentel (UFRJ)
Maria Eulalia Vares (UFRJ)
Nuno Crokidakis (UFF)
Roberto I. Oliveira (IMPA)
Simon Griffiths (PUC-Rio)
Yuri F. Saporito (FGV-EMAp)
 

State estimation and predictive control applied to the treatment of the hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy in neonates - Helcio R. B. Orlande (Programa de Engenharia Mecânica, COPPE-UFRJ)

The hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy in neonates is a neurological disorder characterized by the lack of oxygen (hypoxia) and low blood flow (ischemia), often related to perinatal asphyxia due to complications during birth. The main treatment for hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy in neonates is the cooling of affected regions. Systemic cooling can be achieved by wrapping the body of the neonate with a blanket containing channels through which cold water is circulated. Alternatively, local cooling can be performed by surrounding the head of the neonate with a cap, in which cold water flows through channels, while the remaining body can be warmed by a radiator in the incubator. This seminar summarizes the works recently performed by the authors on the solution of inverse problems and predictive control related to the hypothermia treatment of the hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy in neonates. The inverse problem involved the estimation of the brain temperature from the information provided by other temperature measurements available during the treatment. The inverse problem was solved as a state estimation problem with the Sampling Importance Resampling (SIR) algorithm of the particle filter method. The solution of the inverse problem was verified with simulated measurements, and ultimately validated with actual experimental data obtained during the local cooling treatment of a neonate in a pediatric intensive care unit. The combined application of the particle filter method and stochastic model predictive control was also numerically examined, in order to observe and control the body temperatures during the cooling treatment of a neonate.
 
Sum-set problems and results -- Old and new - Béla Bollobás (University of Cambridge and University of Memphis)

Sums of subsets of R^n, Z^n and Z_p^n have been studied for well over a century, although at the beginning progress was very slow. The subject took off in the 1960s, when Erdos and Heilbronn, and Freimann published their celebrated papers, and has been going from strength to strength with the results of Gowers, Green, Károlyi, Ruzsa, Tao, Vu and others. The talk, which should be understandable to a wide audience, not only to pure mathematicians, will contain some of the results I have obtained with Imre Leader and Marius Tiba, together with a recent breakthrough achieved by Gowers, Green, Manners and Tao.

Data: 17/05/2023
Horário: 14:15h
Local: Auditório 1 - IMPA. Estrada Dona Castorina 110. Jardim Botânico. Rio de Janeiro.

Nosso próximo encontro do COLMEA será no dia 17 de maio (quarta-feira), no IMPA. Na ocasião teremos a seguinte programação:

14:15h - Andressa Cerqueira (UFSCar)

Community detection in weighted networks

15:50h - Gabor Lugosi (ICREA - U. Pompeu Fabra)

Problems in network archaeology: root finding and broadcasting

Resumo:

Community detection in weighted networks
Andressa Cerqueira (UFSCar)

Network models have received increasing attention from the statistical community, in particular in the context of analyzing and describing the interactions of complex random systems. In this context, community structures can be observed in many networks where the nodes are clustered in groups with the same connection patterns. In this talk, we address the community detection problem for weighted networks in the case where, conditionally on the node labels, the edge weights are drawn independently from a Gaussian random variable with mean and variance depending on the community labels of the edge endpoints. We will present a fast and tractable EM algorithm to recover the community labels that achieves the optimal error rate.

Problems in network archaeology: root finding and broadcasting
Gábor Lugosi (ICREA - U. Pompeu Fabra)

Large networks are often naturally modeled by random processes in which nodes of the network are added sequentially, according to some stochastic rule. Uniform and preferential attachment trees are among the simplest examples of such dynamically growing networks. The statistical problems we address in this talk regard discovering the past of the network when a present-day snapshot is observed. We present results that show that, even in gigantic networks, a lot of information is preserved from the very early days. In particular, we discuss the problem of finding the root and the broadcasting problem.

Todos são muito bem-vindos.

O comitê organizador:

Americo Cunha (UERJ)
Evaldo M. F. Curado (CBPF)
João Batista M. Pereira (UFRJ)
Leandro P. R. Pimentel (UFRJ)
Maria Eulalia Vares (UFRJ)
Nuno Crokidakis (UFF)
Roberto I. Oliveira (IMPA)
Simon Griffiths (PUC-Rio)
Yuri F. Saporito (FGV EMAp)

Mais informações sobre o COLMEA podem ser encontradas através da homepage AQUI.

Data: 22/11/2023
Horário: a partir das 14:00h
Local: Sala de reuniões do Decanato do CTC, 12 º andar do prédio Cardeal Leme, PUC-Rio

Nesta ocasião teremos palestras de Philip Thompson (FGV EMAp)  e Oliver Riordan (Oxford).

Programa:

14:00 h - 15:20h - Philip Thompson (FGV EMAp) 
Outlier-robust additive matrix decomposition and robust matrix completion

Abstract: We study least-squares trace regression when the parameter is the sum of a $r$-low-rank matrix with a $s$-sparse matrix and a fraction $\epsilon$ of the labels is corrupted. For subgaussian distributions, we highlight three needed design properties, each one derived from a different process inequality: the ``product process inequality'', ``Chevet's inequality'' and the ``multiplier process inequality''. Jointly, these properties entail the near-optimality of a tractable estimator with respect to the effective dimensions for the low-rank and sparse components, $\epsilon$ and the failure probability $\delta$. ... Our estimator is adaptive to $(s,r,\epsilon,\delta)$ and, for fixed absolute constant $c>0$, it attains the mentioned rate with probability $1-\delta$ uniformly over all $\delta > exp(-cn)$. Disconsidering matrix decomposition, our analysis also entails optimal bounds for a robust estimator adapted to the noise variance. Finally, we consider robust matrix completion. We highlight a new property for this problem: one can robustly and optimally estimate the incomplete matrix regardless of the magnitude of the corruption. Our estimators are based on ``sorted'' versions of Huber's loss. We present simulations matching the theory. In particular, it reveals the superiority of ``sorted'' Huber's losses over the classical Huber's loss.

15:40h - 17:00h - Oliver Riordan (Oxford)
The chromatic number of random graphs

17:00h - Discussão e lanche

Todos são muito bem-vindos.

Informações mais completas sobre o COLMEA podem ser encontradas AQUI.

O comitê organizador:

Americo Cunha (UERJ)
Evaldo M.F. Curado (CBPF)
João Batista M. Pereira (UFRJ)
Leandro P. R. Pimentel (UFRJ)
Maria Eulalia Vares (UFRJ)
Nuno Crokidakis (UFF)
Roberto I. Oliveira (IMPA)
Simon Griffiths (PUC-Rio)
Yuri F. Saporito (FGV-EMAp)

Data: 05/04/2023
Horário: 14:00h
Palestrante: Leonardo Soares Bastos (PROCC - Fiocruz) e Wanderson Luiz Silva (IGEO - UFRJ)

Programação

14:00h: Leonardo Soares Bastos (PROCC - Fiocruz)
"Corrigindo atraso de notificação de doenças infecciosas: Nowcasting bayesiano e extensões"

15:40h: Wanderson Luiz Silva (IGEO - UFRJ)
"Mudanças climáticas: Tendências observadas e cenários futuros de extremos climáticos"

Mais informações sobre o COLMEA podem ser encontradas através da homepage AQUI.